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What is not intelligence?
Man versus Machine: Machine wins a chess game. Completes the Rubik's cube before you did. Winning the Go Championship. Machine providing structured answers. Such instances are at best examples of specialized intelligence or mechanized or worst "fake intelligence". Intelligence, or general intelligence, is ability to understand contextual information AND ability to understand language AND motor skills AND ability to acquire knowledge & experience, infer, understand & question. Okay got that! So how do we get to function like a brain?
Theory of Connectivity propagates that there is a simple algorithm that underlies brain's computations. And algorithms, irrespective of where they are housed, in a calculator or in the human brain, the math will still work. Silicon or in Carbon. So you figure out those neurons that form functional cluster and use it to create Artificial Intelligence. And we are up for some serious discussion about the future when bio, nano, energy, robotics and technology achieve singularity and make a profound impact on people, business and society.
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The Next Industrial Revolution?
Artificial Intelligence is a big revolution, far far away from the 1st when we mechanized production, moved to mass production and then automated production in the last revolution. This revolution comes with exponential change. It impacts all of us, every country, every business, every industry. And not just impacts production, but everything around management and governance. Some of the published volumetrics, for this 4th industrial revolution, talks of 45% work activities potentially being automated; and 80% being enabled by machine learning. However these numbers don't apply uniformly across countries or businesses or industries. There are several factors that need to be considered to understand impact. Example the industry sector: if you into manufacturing - your business or you country is heavily into manufacturing- then the impact is higher. A published number talks of 55% automation impact in Japan. Another factor being job mix: workforce that is into management roles will be less impacted by automation. So you have USA with lower impact of 45%.
Economics of Artificial Intelligence
Economists think of technology as a cost lever. And Artificial Intelligence is no different. It is a substitute for human ability to predict and analyze. If this world can be owned by concepts like countries, nations, treaties and companies, then one day Algorithms can rule us too and drive our economies. In countries like UK, Germany, Australia, France and Italy where there is ageing population and less working age population, automation is an important lever to sustain and grow a sagging GDP. In Brazil, Russia and China GDP growth rates are healthy, even with ageing population. But to surpass these rates, automation is key. India, South Africa, Mexico GDP rates are good, population is young. However automation will help them stay competitive.
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